Huatai Securities: 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies help the film to pick up. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the sector. Huatai Securities Research Report said that the National Film Bureau launched the "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" on December 9, and the "consumption season" will be from December 2024 to February 2025. A total of not less than 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies will be invested; On the supply side, movies for the Spring Festival in 2025 are scheduled one after another, including Bears, Gods 2 and Legend of the Condor Heroes, etc., and the head players gather, so the box office for the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. Looking forward to 2025, both ends of supply and demand are expected to improve, and the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate will be pushed upward. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the plate.Hyundai Motor: Parker will continue to be the CEO of Hyundai Motor's North American business.Kathy Hochul, the governor of New York, said that a governor's arrest warrant would be issued to the suspect who murdered the CEO of United Health Insurance.
Syrian opposition forces claimed to have taken control of the eastern Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor. According to Al Jazeera and Arabiya TV, on the 10th local time, Hassan Abdel Ghani, commander of Syrian opposition forces, said that "the eastern Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor has been completely controlled".TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.More support policies for specialization and innovation are brewing. According to the data of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, up to now, China has cultivated a total of 14,600 "little giant" enterprises with specialization and innovation, and more than 140,000 small and medium-sized enterprises with specialization and innovation. Over 80% of the "Little Giant" enterprises are located in strategic emerging industrial chains such as integrated circuits and aerospace, and the number of enterprises in future industry-related fields such as artificial intelligence and low-altitude economy is nearly 5,000. The reporter was informed that the relevant departments will study and formulate guidance on building a mechanism to promote the development and growth of specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, issue guidance on cultivating high-quality enterprises, continue to increase support for the cultivation of specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, and promote the "expansion, quality improvement and strong chain" of specialized and innovative groups. (Economic Information Daily)
South Korea's exports increased by 12.4% and imports increased by 11.6% from December 1 to 10. South Korea's chip exports increased by 43% year-on-year from December 1 to 10.CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13